Stochastic in Space and Time: Part 2, Effects of Simulating Orographic
Gradients in Daily Runoff Variability on Bedrock River Incision
Abstract
Understanding the extent to which climate and tectonics can be coupled
requires knowing both the form of topography and erosion rate
relationships, but also the underlying mechanistic controls on those
forms. The stream power incision model (SPIM) is commonly used to
interpret such topography erosion rate relationships, but is limited in
terms of probing mechanisms. A promising modification is a
stochastic-threshold incision model (STIM) which incorporates both
variability in discharge and a threshold to erosion, and in which the
form of the topography erosion rate relationship is largely controlled
by the variability of runoff. However, as applied STIM assumes
temporally variable, but spatially constant runoff generating events, an
assumption that is likely broken in regions with complicated orography.
In response, we develop a unique 1D STIM based profile model that allows
for stochasticity in both time and space and is driven by empirical
relations between topography and runoff statistics. Testing the
development of steady-state topography using spatial-STIM over a range
of uplift rates highlights that coupling between mean runoff, runoff
variability, and topography suggest that the development of highly
nonlinear topography erosion rates should be expected. Further, we find
that whether the daily statistics of runoff generating events are
spatially linked or unlinked is a primary control on landscape evolution
and the final resulting topography. As many empirical topography –
erosion rate datasets likely sample across ranges of linked vs unlinked
behavior, it is questionable whether single SPIM relationships fit to
those data, without considerations of the hydroclimatology, are
meaningful.