Abstract
The Solar Geoengineering (SG) is an interim solution to combat global
warming, which involves scattering back a tiny fraction of the incoming
sunlight. Hence, SG and its potential impacts are important to study for
the identification of changing weather patterns over regions of climate
vulnerable South Asia. This study explores the projected spatio-temporal
patterns of two meteorological parameters, temperature, and
precipitation, under SG numerical experiment (stratospheric aerosol
injection), relative to projected climate change. Furthermore, future
projections of same meteorological parameters without SG under a
representative concentration pathway (RCP 4.5) will also be studied for
comparative analysis. Offsetting climate parameters are associated with
multiple risk factors. Thus, Both SG and non-SG scenarios will be
studied for the future time period. The results indicate that the
temperature reduces by -0.62 °C under the SG G4 scenario and spatial
distribution patterns of temperature also depicts an overall cooling
effects during the G4 implementation (2020-2029) and continuation
(2030-2069) phase. Moreover, on a regional scale, a cold bias (less
severe) is projected as compared to projected climate under RCP 4.5. Our
findings show that, precipitation is also projected to be decreased by
-0.02 mmday-1. Dry bias pattern is projected during implementation phase
only. The G4 based SG continuation and termination (2070-2090) phases
depict no drastic change in precipitation over South Asia.