Flood Hydraulic Model Calibration and Scour Potential Prediction Based
on Advanced ASV-Measured Extreme Flood Events Triggered by Snowmelt
Abstract
The primary factor in hydraulic modeling for assessing flood
vulnerability is water discharge. However, the absence of discharge data
and information on observed river bathymetry resulted in inaccurate
flood inundation mapping, particularly for flood-prone rivers like the
Red River of the North. This research aims to determine Manning’s n
coefficient of the Red River near Grafton, North Dakota and flood
inundation mapping using simulation tools in s Hydraulic Engineering
Center-River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) for flood modeling. Autonomous
Surface Vehicle (ASV) were used to collect bathymetry and discharge data
during low and high flow conditions, including a flood event with 16.5
years return period in 2022. LiDAR DEM (Digital Elevation Model) data
for the area obtained from the US Geological Survey (USGS) National Map
were processed and adjusted for the study area. Bathymetric and velocity
data were also used to draw conclusions about the scour potential
revealed by flood inundation mapping and to examine for any local scour
development in the streambed near the bridge piers. Hydraulic model
under steady flow condition indicated that Manning’s n-coefficient of
0.07 and 0.15 for the channel and overbanks, respectively, agreed well
with the observed and simulated water level values. The results indicate
the efficiency of using ASVs for flood mapping to the advantages of
integrating bathymetry, flow velocity, and flood prediction.