Abstract
Sexual imprinting is widespread in birds and other species but its
existence requires explanation. Here we show that sexual imprinting
leads to speciation in locally-adapted populations if a neutral mating
cue – e.g., novel plumage coloration – arises through mutation. Local
adaptations occur when evolution results in stable genetic polymorphisms
with one allele predominating in some areas while others predominate
elsewhere. Here we use a deterministic two-niche population genetic
model to map the set of migration and selection rates for which
polymorphic evolutionary outcomes, i.e., local adaptations, can occur.
Equations for the boundaries of the set of polymorphic evolutionary
outcomes were derived by (Bulmer, 1972), but our results, obtained by
deterministic simulation of the evolutionary process, show that one of
Bulmer’s equations is inaccurate except when the level of dominance is
0.5, and fails if one of the alleles is dominant. Having an accurate map
of the set of migration and selection rates for which polymorphic
evolutionary outcomes can occur, we then show using the model of (Sibly
et al., 2019) that local adaptation in all cases leads to speciation if
a new neutral mating cue arises by mutation. We finish by considering
how genome sequencing makes possible testing of our results.