Red blood cell distribution width and left ventricular mass index
predict poor outcomes in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy
Abstract
Aim: To evaluate the prognostic utility of red blood cell
distribution width (RDW) and left ventricular mass index (LVMI) in
patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). Patients &
methods: This study is a retrospective cohort analysis. Patients
diagnosed with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy at the First Affiliated
Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from March 2014 to March 2019 were
included . HCM patients were stratified into two groups based on the
occurrence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE).Receiver operator
characteristic (ROC) curves were then constructed and Cox regression
models were employed to gauge the prognostic relevance of RDW and LVMI
for HCM patients. Kaplan-Meier analysis evaluated the survival and
MACE-free rate in patients with different level of RDW and LVMI.
Results: A total of 300 patients with HCM were enrolled in this
study and followed up for 40.56±18.33 months. Among them, 117 MACE
(39.00%), 40 all-cause deaths (13.33%), 29 cardiovascular deaths
(9.67%). The level of RDW, LVMI, creatinine (Cr) and B-type pro-brain
natriuretic peptide (NT-ProBNP) were statistically different between the
MACE group and Non-MACE group ( P<0.05). Multivariate
analysis showed that after adjusting for confounding factors, RDW and
LVMI were independent predictors of all-cause mortality and MACE in HCM
patients. ROC showed that RDW>0.13 and
LVMI>181g/m 2 are the cut-off value to
predict all-cause mortality and MACE. The AUC of the combination
predicting the occurrence of all-cause mortality and MACE are 0.890 and
0.885 respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the survival rate
and MACE-free survival rate of group 1 (RDW≦0.13 and LVMI≦181g/m
2) were significantly higher than group 2
(RDW>0.13 or LVMI>181g/m 2),
and group 3 (RDW >0.13 and LVMI>181g/m
2) ( P=0.000). Conclusion: We
determined that increased RDW and LVMI was independently associated with
MACE incidence and risk of mortality in HCM patients. Combined
evaluation of RDW and LVMI yielded a more accurate predictive model of
HCM patient outcomes relative to the use of either of these metrics in
isolation. Our research can provide a theoretical basis in the
occurrence of MACE for the high-risk HCM and intervene them properly and
timely.