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Pricing carbon emissions reduces health inequities from air pollution exposure
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  • Xinyuan Huang,
  • Vivek Srikrishnan,
  • Jonathan Lamontagne,
  • Klaus Keller,
  • Wei Peng
Xinyuan Huang
Penn State University, Penn State University
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Vivek Srikrishnan
Cornell University, Cornell University
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Jonathan Lamontagne
Tufts University, Tufts University
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Klaus Keller
Dartmouth College, Dartmouth College
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Wei Peng
Penn State University, Penn State University

Corresponding Author:weipeng@psu.edu

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Climate mitigation can bring health co-benefits by improving air quality. Yet, whether mitigation will widen or narrow current health disparities remains unclear. Here we use a coupled climate-energy-health model to assess the effects of a global carbon price on the distribution of ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure and associated health risks across an ensemble of nearly 30,000 future scenarios. We find that pricing carbon consistently lowers the PM2.5-attributable death rates in lower-income countries by reducing fossil fuel burning (e.g., China and India). Since these countries are projected to have large ageing populations, the greatest reduction in global average PM2.5-attributable death rate is found in elderly populations, which are more vulnerable to air pollution than the other age groups. In contrast, the health effects in higher-income countries are more complex, because pricing carbon can increase the emissions from bioenergy use and land-use changes, counteracting the mortality decrease from reduced fossil fuel burning. Mitigation technology choices and complex interactions between age structures, energy use, and land use all influence the distribution of health effects. Our results highlight the importance of an improved understanding of regional characteristics and cross-sector dynamics for addressing the interconnected challenges of climate, health, and social inequalities.