Isolating the impacts of urban form and fabric from geography in
assessing heat mitigation strategies
Kerry Nice

Transport, Health, and Urban Design Research Lab, Faculty of Architecture, Building, and Planning, University of Melbourne, VIC, Australia, Transport, Health, and Urban Design Research Lab, Faculty of Architecture, Building, and Planning, University of Melbourne, VIC, Australia
Corresponding Author:kerry.nice@unimelb.edu.au
Author ProfileSachith Seneviratne

Transport, Health, and Urban Design Research Lab, Faculty of Architecture, Building, and Planning, University of Melbourne, VIC, Australia, Transport, Health, and Urban Design Research Lab, Faculty of Architecture, Building, and Planning, University of Melbourne, VIC, Australia
Author ProfileJason Thompson

{Transport, Health, and Urban Design Research Lab, Faculty of Architecture, Building, and Planning, University of Melbourne, VIC, Australia, {Transport, Health, and Urban Design Research Lab, Faculty of Architecture, Building, and Planning, University of Melbourne, VIC, Australia
Author ProfileAbstract
As public health risks resulting from urban heat in cities increase due
to urbanisation and climate change, there is a pressing need to design
strategies for urban heat mitigation and ensure that future development
is climate sensitive. Heat stress in cities is mainly influenced by four
factors: the built form, natural and vegetated form, human urban
activities, and regional geographic settings (e.g. topography and
distance to water bodies). The first two factors can be modified and
redesigned as urban heat mitigation strategies (e.g. changing the albedo
of surfaces, replacing hard surfaces with pervious vegetated surfaces,
or increasing canopy cover), whereas while human activities can be
modified, the impacts of these can be difficult to quantify, and
regional geographical settings of cities cannot be modified. However,
when evaluating the effectiveness of urban heat mitigation strategies
based on modifications to the built and natural forms, it can be
difficult to separate their impacts from the interactions of the
geographic influences. To address this, we performed a comprehensive
urban form analysis, covering the full range of realistic built and
natural forms (building density and height, roads, grass, and tree
density and height) in cities, along with a combination of mitigation
strategies, to determine the importance and influence of each on thermal
performance. We show that during the daytime, higher air temperatures
and Universal Thermal Climate Index temperatures are strongly driven by
increased street fractions, with air temperatures increasing up to 10
and 15C as street fractions increase to 80 and 90%. Reductions in air
temperature of 5C are seen with increasing grass and tree fractions from
none to complete coverage. Similar patterns are seen with the Universal
Thermal Climate Index, with increasing street fractions of 80% and 90%
driving increases of 6 and 12C. We then scale up the results to produce
city-wide heat maps of several Australian cities showing the impact of
present day urban form. The resulting method allows mitigation
strategies to be tested on modifiable urban form factors isolated from
geography, topography, and local weather conditions, factors that cannot
easily be modified.