A continuous 13.3-ka paleoseismic record constrains major earth- quake
recurrence in the Longmen Shan collision zone
Abstract
Key Points: • The recurrence time of large earthquakes (M ï¿¿ 8.1) is
1200 years in the Long-men Shan collision zone. • MMI ï¿¿ ï¿¿½ (M ï¿¿
5.9, R min ï¿¿ 10 km) is the lower-bound conditions for triggering the
deformation in the Lixian lacustrine sediments. • The Maoxian-Wenchuan
fault is the main fault that triggered the deformation in Lixian
lacustrine sediments. Abstract The thrust collision zone with a low slip
rate along the plate boundary is the main stress accumulation area and
prone to occur more destructive earthquakes with a longer recurrence
interval. Such region is often classified as low seismic risk if lack of
continuous records of large earthquakes, such as the eastern Ti-betan
Plateau before the 2008 M w 7.9 Wenchuan earthquake. Here, we provide a
continuous seismic record in the Longmen Shan thrust fault zone spanning
13000 years based on detailed investigation of the soft-sediment
deformation structures and seismites in the Lixian lacustrine sequence.
The recurrence time of large earthquakes (M ï¿¿ 8.1) is 1200 years,
which is significantly shorter than the previous estimate of 2000-6000
years. The Maoxian-Wenchuan fault is the main fault that triggered the
deformation in the Lixian lacustrine sediments. In addition, the
frequency of earthquake recurrence in the warm period is more frequent
than that in the cold period, which should arouse our attention on the
seismic study in the tectonically active regions. Plain Language Summary
The Longmen Shan fault zone was evaluated as a low seismic risks area
before 2008 because of complete failure of trenching paleoseismic
research in the eastern Tibetan Plateau, which led to the severe
casualties and property losses caused by the 2008 Wenchuan Ms 8.0
earthquake. Therefore, it is urgent to explore new research methods to
reveal the paleoseismic records in the eastern 1 Tibetan Plateau.
Continuous lacustrine deposition is a good carrier for revealing
tectonic events. The soft-sediment deformation and seismites recorded in
lacustrine sediments can be good indicators of paleoseismic event. Here,
we redefined the soft-sediment deformation and seismic records of the
Lixian lacus-trine sediments in the Longmen Shan fault zone, and
discussed the recurrence time and recurrence model of regional
earthquakes by linking them with earthquake intensity. We obtain that
much shorter recurrence interval (1400 years) of large earthquakes (M
ï¿¿ 8.1) are recorded in the Lixian lacustrine sediments compared with
earlier studies (2000-6000 years), and the large earthquake have a
random earthquake recurrence model of plate boundaries. These results
are very important for reassessing the seismic risk of the Longmen Shan
fault zone in the eastern Tibetan Plateau.