The role of Atmospheric rivers on monthly water availability and floods
in New Zealand
Abstract
This study is motivated by the potential improvement in water supply
reliability and better forecasts of extreme rainfall and floods linked
to Atmospheric rivers (ARs) in New Zealand. Results indicate that ARs
generally dominate monthly rain amounts and wet and dry conditions for
the western side of mountainous regions and the north part of the
country. Precursor soil moisture conditions and their relationship to
runoff are also evaluated. In these regions, ARs are more likely to
replenish soil moisture or lead to flash floods in warm-season months
but generate severe floods in cool-season months due to low soil
moisture deficit. This relationship is further confirmed by the
seasonality of the monthly maximum streamflow of the Whanganui River (a
major river in the North Island of New Zealand). Additionally, ARs
generally lead to high streamflow all year round and are responsible for
most top 10% streamflow.