A Dynamical Linkage Between Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones and
Indian Monsoon Low-Pressure Systems
Abstract
The relatively weak tropical storms, known as low-pressure systems
(LPSs), contribute as much as 60% of the seasonal precipitation over
the hugely populated central India. More than a third of LPS are formed
by the downstream amplification of the westward propagating disturbances
from the Pacific. Here, we show that the downstream LPS genesis are
associated with the tropical cyclones (TCs) in the Western North Pacific
(WNP). Four major clusters of landfalling TCs that have a relatively
lesser degree of recurvature account for about 83% of the downstream
LPS genesis. Causality in the fluctuations of the sea level pressure
over the Bay of Bengal (BoB) prior to the initiation of LPS is
attributed to the Rossby wave activity over WNP through transfer entropy
analysis. Our results suggest a potential for the prediction of the
downstream synoptic activity over the BoB at least seven days ahead.