Rainfall stable water isotope variability in coastal southwestern
Western Australia and its relationship to climate on multiple timescales
Abstract
The factors driving variability in rainfall stable water isotopes (the
ratios of H2-18O and 2HHO to H2O, expressed as δ18O, and deuterium
excess, d) were studied in a 13-year dataset of daily rainfall samples
from coastal southwestern Western Australia (SWWA). Backwards dispersion
modelling, automatic synoptic type classification, and a statistical
model were used to establish causes of variability on a daily scale; and
predictions from the model were aggregated to longer temporal scales to
discover the cause of variability on multiple timescales. Factors differ
between δ18O and d and differ according to temporal scale. Rainfall
intensity, both at the observation site and upwind, was most important
for determining δ18O and this relationship was robust across all time
scales (daily, seasonal, and interannual) as well as generalizing to a
second observation site. The sensitivity of δ18O to rainfall intensity
makes annual mean values particularly sensitive to the year’s largest
events. Projecting the rainfall intensity relationship back through
~100 years of precipitation observations can explain
~0.2-0.4‰ shifts in rainfall δ18O. Twentieth century
speleothem records from the region exhibit signals of a similar
magnitude, indicating that rainfall intensity should be taken into
account during the interpretation of regional climate archives. For d,
humidity during evaporation from the ocean was the most important driver
of variability at the daily scale, as well as explaining the seasonal
cycle, but source humidity failed to explain the longer-term interannual
variability making d records from this region a poor candidate for
reconstructing source humidity.