Distribution and occurrence frequency of dB/dt spikes during magnetic
storms 1980-2019
Abstract
Geomagnetically induced currents or GICs are signatures of a rapidly
time-varying magnetic field (dB/dt) and occur mainly during substorms
and storms. When, where and why exactly GICs may occur, is still vague.
Thus, we investigated storms for the last 40 years (from 1980 with a
storm-list created by W.T. Walach) and analyzed the negative and
positive dB/dt spikes (threshold of 500 nT/min) in the north and east
component using a worldwide coverage (SuperMAG).
Our analysis confirmed the existence of two dB/dt spikes “hotspots”
located in the pre-midnight and in the morning MLT sector, independently
of the geographic location of the stations. The associated physical
ionospheric phenomena are most probably substorm current wedge (SCW)
onsets and westward travelling surges (WTS) in the evening sector, and
wave- or vortex-like current flows in Omega bands in the morning
sector.
Additionally, we observed a spatio-temporal evolution of the negative
northern dB/dt spikes. The spikes initially occur in the pre-midnight
sector, and then develop in time towards the morning sector. This
spatio-temporal sequence is correlated with bursts in the AE index, and
can be repeated several times throughout a storm. Finally, we
investigated the intensity (Dst and AE) of the storms compared to the
number of dB/dt spikes, but we did not find any correlation. This result
implies that moderate storm with many spikes can be as (or more)
dangerous for ground-based infrastructures than a major storm with fewer
dB/dt spikes.
Our findings may help to improve the GICs forecast to accurately predict
dB/dt spikes.