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Calibration and Validation of the Angstrom-Prescott Model in Solar Radiation Estimation using Optimization Algorithms
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  • Seyedeh Nafiseh Banihashemi Dehkordi,
  • Bahram Bakhtiari,
  • Kourosh Qaderi,
  • Mohammad Mehdi Ahmadi
Seyedeh Nafiseh Banihashemi Dehkordi
Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman
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Bahram Bakhtiari
Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman
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Kourosh Qaderi
Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Mohammad Mehdi Ahmadi
Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman
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Abstract

The Angstrom-Prescott (A-P) model is widely suggested for estimating solar radiation (Rs) in areas without measured or deficiency of data. The coefficients of this model must be locally calibrated, to calculate evapotranspiration (ET) correctly. The aim of this research was calibration and validation of the coefficients of the A-P model at six meteorological stations across arid and semi-arid regions of Iran. This model was improved by adding the air temperature and relative humidity terms. Besides, the coefficients (’a’ and ‘b’) of the A-P model and improved models was calibrated using some optimization algorithms including Harmony Search (HS) and Shuffled Complex Evolution (SCE). Performance indices, i.e., Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Bias Error (MBE), and coefficient of determination (R2) were used to analyze the models ability in estimating Rs. The results indicated that the performance of the A-P model had more precision and less error than improved models in all the stations. In addition, the best results were obtained for the A-P model with the SCE algorithm. The RMSE varies between 0.82 and 2.67 MJ m-2 day-1 for the A-P model with the SCE algorithm in the calibration phase. In the SCE algorithm, the values of RMSE had decreased about 4% and 7% for Mashhad and Kerman stations in the calibration phase compared to the HS algorithm, respectively. In other words, the highest decrease of RMSE is related to Kerman station.
22 Mar 2022Published in Scientific Reports volume 12 issue 1. 10.1038/s41598-022-08744-6