Geomagnetically Induced Currents at Middle Latitudes: 1. Quiet-time
Variability
Abstract
Geomagnetically induced current (GIC)s at middle latitudes have received
increased attention after reported power-grid disruptions due to
geomagnetic disturbances. However, quantifying the risk to the electric
power grid at middle latitudes is difficult without understanding how
the GIC sensors respond to geomagnetic activity on a daily basis.
Therefore, in this study the question “Do measured GICs have
distinguishable and quantifiable long- and short-period
characteristics?’ is addressed. The study focuses on the long-term
variability of measured GIC, and establishes the extent to which the
variability relates to quiet-time geomagnetic activity. GIC quiet-day
curves (QDC)s are computed from measured data for each GIC node,
covering all four seasons, and then compared with the seasonal
variability of Thermosphere-Ionosphere- Electrodynamics General
Circulation Model (TIE-GCM)-simulated neutral wind and height-integrated
current density. The results show strong evidence that the
middle-latitude nodes routinely respond to the tidal-driven Sq
variation, with a node-specific dependence upon the direction of the
ionospheric currents. The strong dependence of the GIC on the Sq
currents demonstrates that the GIC QDCs may be employed as a robust
baseline from which to quantify the significance of GICs during
geomagnetically active times and to isolate those variations to study
independently. The QDC-based significance score computed in this study
provides power utilities with a node-specific measure of the geomagnetic
significance of a given GIC observation. Finally, this study shows that
the power grid acts a giant sensor which is sensitive to ionospheric
current systems, even at middle latitudes.