Recurrent Rossby wave packets modulate the persistence of dry and wet
spells across the globe
Abstract
Persistent dry and wet spells can arise from stationary weather
situations or recurrent flow patterns and result in significant
socio-economic impacts. Here, we study the effects of recurrent
synoptic-scale transient Rossby wave packets (RRWPs) on the persistence
of dry and wet spells using the ERA-Interim reanalysis data. RRWPs
significantly alter (decrease and increase) dry and wet spell
persistence across the globe. Spatial patterns of statistically
significant links between RRWPs and spell durations arise from the
superposition of a zonally symmetric component and a wave-like component
that is modulated by local factors such as orography and the position
relative to major moisture sources. The zonally symmetric component is
apparent during the Northern Hemisphere winter and dominates the
Southern Hemisphere signal in winter and summer. The wave-like component
appears primarily in the Northern Hemisphere, changes its wavenumber
with the season and is thus, conceivably related to stationary wave
dynamics.