Abstract
The sources and characteristics of the slow eastward-propagating
planetary waves (EPWs) were investigated prior to the major sudden
stratospheric warming (SSW) events, as observed by the Microwave Limb
Sounder (MLS) and simulated by the National Center for Atmospheric
Research (NCAR) Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM) with
specified dynamics. With a zonal phase speed of ~10 m
s-1, these EPWs appeared as wavenumber-1 and -2
perturbations in the boreal stratosphere and mesosphere prior to SSWs
with split and displaced polar vortex. Found near the turning and
critical layers, these waves were manifestations of an unstable eastward
mesospheric flow. These instability waves were investigated from the
perspective of over-reflection. A zonal-mean zonal wind structure with
local maxima around the upper polar stratosphere and the subtropical
mesosphere was commonly found prior to SSW onset as the result of net
forcing by gravity and planetary waves. This structure was largely
unstable and provided the wave geometry conducive to over-reflection.