Simple Topographic Parameter for Along-trench Friction Distribution of
Shallow Megathrust Fault
Abstract
In the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake, the rupture in the subduction
megathrust reached the trench axis and triggered a large tsunami. The
shallow portion of the subduction megathrust fault was regarded as an
aseismic stable zone. The frictional properties along the shallow
subduction plate boundary are an important foundation for understanding
the cause of the dynamic fault rupture in the earthquake near the
trench. The critical taper model of a sedimentary wedge best describes
the first-order mechanics of a subduction zone wedge. The tapered wedge
geometry (slope angle α and basal dip angle β) is responsible for the
strength of a shallow megathrust. However, to apply the critical taper
model for the investigation of spatial heterogeneity, we need to improve
handling β, since β is derived from the subsurface structure and its
value depends on the number of accurately depth-converted seismic
profiles. Here, the effect of décollement dip angle β in the critical
taper model of a sedimentary wedge is examined. The effect is negligible
for a high pore fluid pressure ratio, allowing the frictional variation
to be obtained with only bathymetry data. We applied the model to the
Japan Trench. The frictional variation indicates that a smaller
frictional area corresponds to an area with a larger coseismic shallow
rupture during the 2011 earthquake than those of the southern and
northern areas. The method can be applied to other trenches to predict
seismic potential.