Profiling of Soil Moisture Variability and Its Role in Rainfall-Runoff
Generation in Northern California's Russian River Watershed
Abstract
Capturing watershed-scale runoff response remains difficult, in part
because of heterogeneous land surface characteristics in mountainous
regions. This challenge has impacted our progress in understanding soil
moisture role in modulating rainfall-runoff process. Situated in
Northern California, the Russian River watershed is frequented by
atmospheric rivers (ARs) that bring most of the significant rainfall
events to the area and are associated with almost all of the floods. To
observe the precipitation in this watershed, NOAA Hydrometeorology
Testbed has installed 14 telemetered stations across the watershed since
2005, each with 2-minute soil moisture volumetric water content (VWC)
sensors at 6 depths. The Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes
at the University of California San Diego has installed 6 more stations
since 2017. Understanding soil moisture variability is crucial for
hydrologic modeling and operations, particularly flood prediction. This
high resolution soil moisture observation network allows comprehensive
analysis of soil moisture variability. For instance, correlation
analysis of 2-minute VWC at 10-cm depth reveals a uniform shallow-layer
soil moisture behavior with correlations of >0.8 at most
locations and across different seasons, demonstrating the network’s
utility in capturing spatial and temporal soil moisture variabilities.
Following this result, we investigate how antecedent soil moisture
condition modulates the rainfall-runoff process. We include
precipitation and stream discharge records from the same stations and
nearby USGS gauges. A series of AR events in February 2019 offers a
prime example. The February 2nd and Valentine’s Day ARs saturated the
soil in most parts of the watershed and resulted in minor flooding.
Percentile rank analysis indicated the subsequent February 26th-27th ARs
recorded the highest event total rainfalls since 2017 at most gauges.
Consequently, the February 26th-27th ARs resulted in rapid runoff
responses and widespread flooding. This example also reveals the spatial
variation in antecedent soil moisture VWC “threshold” where runoff
generation becomes efficient. Work is ongoing to profile this threshold
variation within the watershed, and preliminary analysis suggests a
range from <0.2 to >0.5 at 10-cm depth.